Saturday, October 22, 2011

Tell Them to Shut the Hell Up and Go Home!





It's good to be educated about any issue you feel strongly about, but sometimes you just can't keep up with all the arguments a skeptic might make.  This is very true in the case of Global Warming where  Skeptics make it a full time job publishing voluminous amounts of crap denying the realities behind Climate Change. 

If you get stumped on this issue, just memorize the following list below.  They are the organizations (the Big Boys on the block) that have affirmed the realities of Global Warming (NASA: Evidence for Climate Change) and know - with scientific certainty - that Global Warming is real:

*American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
*American Meterological Society (AMS)
*Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS)
*U.S. National Academy of Sciences
*National Center for Atmospheric Research
*American Geophysical Union
*National Science Foundation
*American Chemical Society
*American Geophysical Union
*American Institute of Biological Sciences
*American Society of Aronomy
*American Society of Plan Biologists
*American Statistical Association
*Association of Ecosystem Research Centers
*Botanical Society of America
*Crop Science Society of America
*Ecological Society of America
*Natural Science collections Alliance
*Organization of Biological Field Stations
*Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
*Society of Systematic Biologists
*Soil Science of Society of America
*University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
*National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
*International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
*National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA)

Once you've rattled off these organizations, you can look at the whiney asshole skeptics (Moe, Larry, and Curly) and say:

I know you guys are probably one hell of brain-trust, but I'll stick with the organizations in 'the know',
so just.............

SHUT THE HELL UP AND GO HOME!

Note: Pandango apologizes for the use of profanity on this blog.  Please forgive...
Feel free to use whatever phraseology you are happy with.

Friday, October 21, 2011

How the Christian Right is Wrong





Just for arguments sake, I'm going to take the view of a pro-lifer right wing Christian.  I'm going to say that a woman doesn't have the right to choose (an abortion) when it comes to saving the life of her unborn child.  I'm also going to also say that contraception for women is wrong, and that life starts at the moment a woman's egg has been fertilized.  Life is sacred, and must be protected at all costs, even if it means terrorizing doctors who perform abortions and shutting down all Planned Parenthood clinics.  Life is sacred; life must be protected. 

If I believe this - that life is sacred and must be protected at all costs - then I must be intellectually honest with myself and take this argument to the next step.  The next step is that I must also protect and cherish and defend my child's right to life after it is born.  I must be against all legislation and government efforts to protect those businesses that want to: pollute our air, pollute our water, destroy our natural resources, diminish our food supply, impact our climate in such a way that makes our planet uninhabitable  Dangers of Pollution to the Unborn.  I MUST admit this.  To force a woman to have an unwanted pregnancy, and then not care how this child will survive once it's born is immoral at best.  Being unconcerned about a changing planet that may not even be habitable during the child's lifetime is borderline mental illness.

Even if I DON'T believe in Global Warming (New Study Says Global Warming is Real), I must still take action against legislators and politicians who support a businesses right to pollute.   It doesn't make any sense to support a politician who will protect the life of an unborn child, but refuses to protect the environment in which that child will live.


Many "Christian" conservative politicians will publicly testify before the House or Senate that they believe strongly in protecting the rights of the unborn, yet on the other hand, they will fight tooth-n-nail to protect a businesses right to pollute and harm our natural resources with the ultimate outcome being higher incidence of cancer risks, asthma, and other health problems that could have been avoided entirely if more regulation and strict laws were in place to protect the health and well-being of our children.

I don't think that the Christian Right is ignorant; I just believe that the majority of them haven't thought these things through.  If you are going to protect the life of the unborn, you MUST also protect their life once they are born.

That's how the Christian Right is Wrong.

Pandango

Thursday, October 20, 2011

How Agnotology is Relevant to Global Warming

Agnotology (formerly agnatology) is the study of culturally-induced ignorance or doubt, particularly the publication of inaccurate or misleading scientific data.

Hmm...sound familiar with the junk science surrounding Global Warming?

A prime example of the deliberate production of ignorance cited by Proctor is the tobacco industry's conspiracy to manufacture doubt about the cancer risks of tobacco use. Under the banner of science, the industry produced research about everything except tobacco hazards to exploit public uncertainty.[5][6] Some of the root causes for culturally-induced ignorance are media neglect, corporate or governmental secrecy and suppression, document destruction, and myriad forms of inherent or avoidable culturopolitical selectivity, inattention, and forgetfulness.[7]


I find this very interesting, considering that many of the techniques used by Global Warming Negationists were also used by the Tobacco Industry and by the Nazi's in their cover up of the mass murder of the Jews during WWII.

The availability of such large amounts of knowledge in this information age may not necessarily be producing a knowledgeable citizenry. Instead it may be allowing many people to cherry-pick information in blogs or news that reinforces their existing beliefs.[18] and to be distracted from new knowledge by repetitive or base entertainments. There is conflicting evidence on how television viewing affects intelligence as well as values formation.[19]

The ability to cherry-pick, reading headlines (and nothing else) that support one's beliefs, ignoring evidence that is right in front one's face because we so strongly believe in an issue, listening and believing in television news stories or newspapers  that support one's beliefs without looking (or even wanting to look) at the other side.  Having more available information doesn't necessarily make us smarter - in fact - it might even help reinforce our stupidity! 

Such is the study of Agnotology...

5. ^ a b c Palmer, Barbara (2005-10-04). "Conference to explore the social construction of ignorance". Stanford News Service. http://news-service.stanford.edu/pr/2005/pr-agno-100505.html. Retrieved 2007-08-12. "Proctor uses the term "agnotology" – a word coined from agnosis, meaning "not knowing" – to describe a new approach to looking at knowledge through the study of ignorance."

6. ^ Kreye, Andrian (2006-04-12). "Polonium in Zigaretten : Müll in der Kippe (Polonium in cigarettes : Garbage in the butt)". Sueddeutsche Zeitung. http://www.sueddeutsche.de/,Ple3Lhp/wissen/artikel/710/93617/. Retrieved 2007-08-12. "Proctor:...Die Tabakindustrie hat ... verlangt, dass mehr geforscht wird. Das ist reine Ablenkungsforschung. Wir untersuchen in Stanford inzwischen, wie Unwissen hergestellt wird. Es ist eine Kunst - wir nennen sie Agnotologie. (Proctor:...The tobacco industry has ... called for further study. That is pure distraction research. At Stanford, we study how ignorance is manufactured. It is an art we call agnotology.)" [dead link]

7.^ a b "Agnotology: The Cultural Production of Ignorance". http://www.stanford.edu/dept/HPST/AgnotologyConference.html. Retrieved 2007-08-12.

18. ^ Knobloch-Westerwick (2009). "Study: Americans choose media messages that agree with their views". Communication Research (Sage). http://researchnews.osu.edu/archive/poliview.htm.

19. ^ Thakkar RR, Garrison MM, Christakis DA (2006-11-05). "A Systematic Review for the Effects of Television Viewing by Infants and Preschoolers". Pediatrics 118 (5): 2025–2031. doi:10.1542/peds.2006-1307. PMID 17079575. http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/cgi/content/full/118/5/2025.

Source: Wiki Agnotology

Magnitude 4.6 Earthquake Hits San Antonio

Information from earthquake.usgs.gov:

Thursday, October 20, 2011 at 07:24:40 AM - Local Time at Epicenter

                           
Depth5.0 kilometers
RegionSOUTHERN TEXAS
Distances60 km (37 miles) NW of Beeville, Texas
76 km (47 miles) SSE of San Antonio, Texas
92 km (57 miles) E of Pearsall, Texas
166 km (103 miles) SSW of AUSTIN, Texas
Location UncertaintyError estimate
ParametersNst=23, Nph=23, Dmin=142.5 km, Rmss=0.81 sec, Gp=111.6 degrees
SourceUSGS NEIC (WDCS-D) earthquake.usgs.gov









Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Idiot of the Week: Montana State Rep. Joe Read (R)




Representative Read has introduced HB 549 into the Montana state legislature.  It states the following fallacies about Global Warming:

* Global Warming is a natural occurance of which human activity has no part.

* Global Warming is  beneficial to the welfare and business climate of Montana.

*Reasonable amounts of carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere have no verifiable impacts on the environment.

That is why you, my friend, get the Idiot of the Week award.

Professional Denialist Tricks

By: Pandango

The article I've summarized below comes from scienceblogs.com.  The blog gives clear and informative insight into how a Professional Denialist tries to sway public opinion. The  Professional Denier does an excellent job convincing a person, legislator, or the public, to believe in, or not to believe in- a particular issue.   This is their job. This is what they do, and they do it very well.

Sometimes, the best way to fight against this kind of denialism, is to understand how they are manipulating you.  Knowing their tricks is a good way to defend yourself from being fooled.  In many ways it's like being in a verbally abusive relationship.  The words of the abuser tears you down in such a subtle and clever way, that eventually you succumb to their methods and give up a large part of who you are.  It is dehumanizing.  Knowing how they attack will help you protect yourself.

Denialists Methods:

1. It's not a problem:  You know that extreme weather we're having? It's no problem! You can always go inside, right?  If it gets too hot - turn on the air conditioner for Pete's sake! Those floods...they'll go away. It was just a 500 year event - that's all.  It won't happen again.  All that CO2 is good for us! Besides, if it does get too bad, we will just build better bridges and dams and homes to withstand the weather...NO PROBLEM... Tuvalu is disappearing under the Ocean?  No Problem, they don't have that many people.  They can just move to New Zealand...NO PROBLEM.

2. Bad Apples:  Did you see the report of those scientists doctoring photos of Polar Bears dying out in the Arctic Ocean?!  See!! I told you those scientist can't be trusted.  They are so radical, that they would do anything to support their own loopy agenda.  They are all in on it!  From NASA to the IPCC...Bad Apples, all of them...

3. Mere Inconvenience: Goes back to the "Not a Problem" trick.  Listen, I know it gets hot in the summer and there may be record temperatures, but Fall is just right around the corner, right?  Wildfires?  That's why we have a fire department.  Look at it this way, if there weren't wildfires, there would be no need for firefighters (they would be out of a job) and in this economy, you wouldn't want that, would you?  It's just a Mere Inconvenience. 

4. No Harm: Did you lose your house in the fire?  OK then, why are you complaining about the hot weather and dry conditions. It's not happening to you, just a small number, and they were very very unlucky - poor souls.  And all those acres that were burned in Texas was really very good for the environment...natures way of cleaning house...makes the soil more fertile.  And those ranchers that lost their cows and land...they sold off their cattle for a lot of money...beef is at a premium right now! No harm.

5. Do Little and Delay: OK, so there might be a problem, but with the way the economy is right now, we are just going to have to wait a while and get our fiscal house in order.  Besides, I saw some houses with solar panels on them.  People are trying to make a difference, and that's all we can ask for right now.  Journey of a thousand miles begins with one step...or something like that.

6. Consumer Education:   Well, the problem might exist, but consumers can educate themselves on this issue.  Buy those long lasting light bulbs.  Turn off your damn TV when you leave the house.  Buy yourself a high mileage vehicle.  Lengthen Daylight Savings Time (my favorite). Fixing the problem all starts with Consumer Education.


7. Consumer Freedom:  If we all go green energy, what kind of freedom will consumers have to choose?  I mean, who wants to have to drive an electric automobile with 12 inch wheels that only goes 30 mph? How will I be able to transport my kids back and forth from school?  All that stuff is expensive too.  Where's my choice to choose?!


8. Our Rights:  Businesses and corporations are people too - right?  So where are our rights to exist?  If clean energy and green energy take over, what will happen to us?  Do you know what that will mean for jobs! For profits!  For our shareholders! We helped make America great, and now all you want to do is make us obsolete!?

9. Spread Confusion: Is it getting colder or warmer? Climate Change or Global Warming? These scientists say it's not happening, and have papers and data and charts to prove it...Ice is increasing or decreasing? CO2 follows temperatures or the other way around? Watts Up With That?!!

10. State or Federal Issue: Hey! The states can't tell me to do that; it's a federal issue! Or... Hey! The federal government can't tell me what to do; that's a states issue. Tie it up in the courts.  Put legislators against each other...

11. Nit Pick or Muddy the Waters: Bring up any information (it doesn't have to be right) that will distort or confuse the issue, and publicize it.  Say it over and over again until people think it's a fact.  Say the info came from an "expert".

12. Poison the Well: Attack the source with irrelevant and untrue name calling i.e. You can't believe any scientists!  They are all pinko-commie, socialists, evolutionists believing pigs that wanna get rich off of government grants.

13. Exploit IgnoranceGive the policy makers and people incomplete information.  They are very busy and don't have time to fact check.  Give them half-truths or true lies.  It's even better if the information is short and easy to remember (but false) because it makes it easier to spread the lie.

14. Tempertantrum

15. False Experts: Put PhD. in front of their name or Dr. and you have a true fake expert.  Even better, put them in a white lab coat...looks even better.

16. Big Government: The government stepping in to help reduce the effects of climate change is just another example of our socialist/communist (whatever works best for you) president trying to regulate us and tax us to death.  Our president is a Big Government President!

17. Give Money: Give millions to the government leadership.  Nothing can happen if the government leaders refuse to even hear the issue.

18. Danger: Our national security will be at risk if we stop drilling for oil, or if we switch to clean energy!

Source: Denialists' Deck of Cards

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Drought information statement for San Antonio and the Hill Country

I've cut and pasted items from the National Weather Service statement that seemed most relevant to this area.  The link to the report is below.  The report was issued today.

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
150 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2011
...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...THE HILL COUNTRY AND RIO
GRANDE PLAINS REMAIN IN SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT STATUS...
DESPITE RECENT RAINFALL...THE DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS. OCTOBER HAS CONTINUED THE TREND OF LESS THAN AVERAGE
RAINFALL FOR MANY LOCATIONS. THERE WAS A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL EVENT FROM OCTOBER 14TH THROUGH 16TH...BUT MANY AREAS
STILL RECEIVED LESS THAN ONE INCH OF RAIN.

THE LA NINA PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE EQUATORIAL
PACIFIC THROUGH THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WINTER. THIS USUALLY
MEANS BELOW AVERAGE RAINFALL AND WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
DURING THE LATE FALL AND INTO THE WINTER ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

THE US DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM) VALID OCTOBER 11TH AND ISSUED ON
OCTOBER 13TH...SHOWED ALL OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS IN SEVERE (D2) TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT (D4) CONDITIONS.

MOST OF THE STATE IS CURRENTLY IN MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) TO
EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT (D4). NINETY-TWO PERCENT OF THE STATE IS IN
EXTREME (D3) TO EXCEPTIONAL (D4) DROUGHT STATUS AND SEVENTY-THREE
PERCENT OF THE STATE IS IN EXCEPTIONAL (D4) DROUGHT STATUS.


FIRE DANGER IS CURRENTLY MODERATE TO HIGH AND WILL REMAIN AT
THESE LEVELS UNTIL WETTING RAINS ARE OBSERVED.

                                            2011 RAINFALL   NORMAL TO DATE   DEPARTURE

SAN ANTONIO                     12.93                         26.11                               -13.18


THE LONGER RANGE OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER 2011 THROUGH JANUARY
2011...CREATED ON SEPTEMBER 15TH IS CALLING FOR GREATER CHANCES
FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND GREATER CHANCES FOR BELOW
NORMAL RAINFALL.

Source: National Weather Service Announcement

Record Breaking Temperatures in Texas

Yesterday, October 17th, was a record breaking temperature day in Texas...

WINK FAA APWINKLERTX97.095.02011-10-171988-10-17
SAN ANGELO MATHIS FLDTOM GREENTX97.095.02011-10-171993-10-17
MIDLAND INTL APMIDLANDTX95.095.02011-10-171964-10-17
ABILENE RGNL APTAYLORTX95.093.02011-10-171972-10-17
LONGVIEW E TX RGNL APGREGGTX88.088.02011-10-172006-10-17

Monday, October 17, 2011

Texas Drought

I included some information below on the state of the Texas climate from the National Weather Service:


DRIEST PRECIPITATION
WATER YEARS SEP - OCT

2010-2011 11.18
1955-1956 13.91
1917-1918 17.12
1916-1917 17.45
1924-1925 18.68


A SECOND WINTER OF LA NINA CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED...WITH AN ENHANCED
LIKELIHOOD OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION. AS A RESULT...THE DROUGHT
IS LIKELY TO PERSIST OR WORSEN ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
FIRE THREAT FOR THE UPCOMING WINTER IS EXPECTED TO BE CONSIDERABLE.

LIVESTOCK RELOCATION CONTINUES AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO SELLING OFF
HERDS...BUT THE NUMBER OF CATTLE OVERALL REMAINS IN DECLINE. THE
TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN CATTLE RAISERS ASSOCIATION SURVEYED RANCHERS
IN LATE AUGUST...FINDING THAT THE AVERAGE HERD REDUCTION WAS 38
PERCENT. THE NUMBER OF CATTLE NATIONWIDE IS THE LOWEST IT HAS BEEN
SINCE THE 1950S.


TREE MORTALITY
THIS YEAR HAS FAR EXCEEDED TYPICAL RATES. BASED ON SOME ESTIMATES...
AS MUCH AS FIVE PERCENT OF THE TREES IN FORT WORTH WILL NOT
RE-EMERGE NEXT SPRING.

DURING THE LAST 11 MONTHS...OVER 6000 SQUARE MILES HAVE BURNED
ACROSS THE STATE...AN AREA LARGER THAN THE STATE OF CONNECTICUT. THE
FIRE SEASON THAT HAS CONTINUED UNABATED THROUGH THE WARM SEASON IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS WINTER APPROACHES.

You can read the rest of the statement here: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=DGTFWD

Record Breaking Temperatures in Texas

Yesterday, October 16, 2011, was a record breaking temperature day in Texas...

CHILDRESS MUNI APCHILDRESSTX93.093.02011-10-161964-10-16
EL PASO APEL PASOTX90.090.02011-10-161979-10-16
LONGVIEW E TX RGNL APGREGGTX89.087.02011-10-161998-10-16

9-9-9 Plan




This is what I mean when I write that people are only interested in headlines and pithy statements.  No need to get deep or involve details.  If it sounds good, that's enough. 

The 9-9-9 plan is Herman Cain's economic plan for the country were he to become president.  After further digging, reporters have discovered the following: there is not much detail or strategy to this plan, we don't know what economists he's consulted (they are remaining "anonymous" supposedly), the plan might have been patterned after a popular 2003 video game, SimCity.

We should do this with Global Warming issues.  Quick, easy to understand headlines with short informative statements that people understand and can relate to.  That's it.  The general public doesn't have time for science talk and maps and graphs and charts.  Just the facts please, but in a way that hits home to people.


Pandango

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Record Breaking Temperatures in Texas

October 15, 2011 was a record breaking temperature day in Texas...

LONGVIEW E TX RGNL APGREGGTX88.088.02011-10-151999-10-15

Why Global Warming Believers Need to Stop Defending and Start Attacking

Enough is enough!  Those of us who believe that Global Warming is really happening, need to stop being on the defensive end of this issue.  We cannot defend the reality of Global Warming forever - which is exactly what the other side wants us to do. Precious time is slipping away, and we are in the same place we were when this whole debate began more than 30 years ago- in fact, we are probably two or three steps back.  It's time to stop, now! The other side will never have enough proof.  They will never have Enough evidence. They will never have Enough facts to sway their opinion, because the truth is, they never wanted to believe in the first place.

It is ridiculous that our government agencies and research departments like the Department of Commerce, Department of Defense, Department of Energy, Department of the Interior, Department of State, Department of Transportation, Department of Health and Human Services, NASA, National Science Foundation, Smithsonian Institution, United States Agency for International Development, United States Department of Agriculture, and the Environmental Protection Agency  have all made statements affirming the realities of Global Warming, yet it is our policy makers in Congress that can't get on board.  This should say something...  Our policymakers are peddling doubt on the American people, and are being paid by corporations and individuals to do so.  This is not going to stop.  The Denial Machine on Global Warming can churn out crap and pseudo-science faster than legitimate scientists can answer and defend.  Just look at the website, Watts Up With That? - every day there is something new by a scientist or a so-called scientist who brings up more trash evidence against Climate Change.

There needs to be a strategy shift by those of us who believe that Global Warming is a reality.  Money needs to be spent on research regarding how to sway the public's opinion in our favor.  The other side has used "word wizards" like Frank Luntz to come up with words and phrases to cast doubt on climate science.  We should do the same, but use these techniques to prove to the public that Global Warming is real.  It's not about the science anymore.  The science is definitive.  It's about changing public opinion with phrases to remember and pithy bold headlines.  Forget about getting too technical with the science now.  This might seem like an anathema to the scientists, but it is the public's opinion that needs to be changed. Scientists need to  simplify simplify simplify, or better yet, just get out of the way and let a public relations expert/s take over.  Then, we need to hammer the point home over and over and over again until the general public gets the point.  NASA and the rest of the government weather/climate/ocean research departments need to start taking a large chunk of funding and putting it towards public relations. Talk candidly and simply. Not like a scientist. Please - not like a scientist. And find a spokesperson who has a commanding presence and will appeal to as many people as possible (a Colin Powell type). Al Gore and James Hansen (I have tons of respect for these two men)have been demonized so much by the Denial Machine that they just seem like silly caricatures. We need a Teflon spokesperson. Someone who is seen as above the criticism.  A larger-than- life personality. 

Always being on the defensive makes it look like we have something to hide.  It makes us look like we are wrong - but we aren't.  We are Right!  They are the distorters and liars!  Consider President Obama's birth certificate.  Remember how the Denial Machine distracted and distorted and out and out lied about the facts behind his birth certificate? Even when the President produced his real birth certificate, there were, and still are,  those who strongly believe that it is a fake and want even more evidence. It will never stop.  They will always continue to move the goalposts.  We have to start fighting. 

It's time to stand up to the big bully on the block and start throwing punches...

Pandango